Mapping Fear and Hope in HPV Vaccine Communication on Sina Weibo: Topic Modeling and Content Analysis

Weiting Xu1, Jen-Sern Tham1, Wan Anita binti Wab Abas1, Jian Qin2, Yuan Long1
1Department of Communication, Faculty of Modern Languages and Communication, Universiti Putra Malaysia
2Department of Chinese Language and Literature, Faculty of Arts, Guangxi University of Foreign Language
DOI: https://doi.org/10.70517/revcc2624192
Published: 04/11/2026
: Weiting Xu, Jen-Sern Tham, Wan Anita binti Wab Abas, Jian Qin, Yuan Long. Mapping Fear and Hope in HPV Vaccine Communication on Sina Weibo: Topic Modeling and Content Analysis. Revista Cultura Científica, 2026 Issue 24. pg. 2390-2407.

Abstract

HPV vaccines became available in mainland China in 2016, yet concerns surrounding HPV vaccination have continued to feature prominently in public discourse. Against this background, this study examined how HPV and HPV vaccination are discussed on Sina Weibo and how threat- and efficacy-related message components are represented within this discourse. Drawing on the Extended Parallel Process Model (EPPM), this study analyzed 219,068 posts on Sina Weibo published between 2018 and 2024 using topic modeling and theory-guided content analysis. Topic modeling revealed a substantial increase in HPV-related discussions over the study period and identified five prominent themes: health behaviors, HPV vaccination, cervical cancer prevention, nine-valent HPV vaccine appointment scheduling, and HPV infection. Content analysis further revealed an imbalance between threat and efficacy components in fear-appeal messages. Efficacy information occurred more frequently than threat information, with self-efficacy appearing most frequently, followed by response efficacy, susceptibility, and severity. Spearman correlation analyses showed that severity and self-efficacy were positively associated with the number of user forwards, whereas susceptibility and response efficacy were not significantly associated with forwarding activity in the reported analysis. These findings extend the application of the EPPM to naturally occurring social media communication by demonstrating how threat and efficacy components are unevenly represented and differently associated with observable user engagement. The study also highlights the importance of designing HPV communication that balances information about health threats with clear and actionable efficacy information.

Keywords: HPV, HPV vaccine, Sina Weibo, topic modeling, content analysis

Abstract

HPV vaccines became available in mainland China in 2016, yet concerns surrounding HPV vaccination have continued to feature prominently in public discourse. Against this background, this study examined how HPV and HPV vaccination are discussed on Sina Weibo and how threat- and efficacy-related message components are represented within this discourse. Drawing on the Extended Parallel Process Model (EPPM), this study analyzed 219,068 posts on Sina Weibo published between 2018 and 2024 using topic modeling and theory-guided content analysis. Topic modeling revealed a substantial increase in HPV-related discussions over the study period and identified five prominent themes: health behaviors, HPV vaccination, cervical cancer prevention, nine-valent HPV vaccine appointment scheduling, and HPV infection. Content analysis further revealed an imbalance between threat and efficacy components in fear-appeal messages. Efficacy information occurred more frequently than threat information, with self-efficacy appearing most frequently, followed by response efficacy, susceptibility, and severity. Spearman correlation analyses showed that severity and self-efficacy were positively associated with the number of user forwards, whereas susceptibility and response efficacy were not significantly associated with forwarding activity in the reported analysis. These findings extend the application of the EPPM to naturally occurring social media communication by demonstrating how threat and efficacy components are unevenly represented and differently associated with observable user engagement. The study also highlights the importance of designing HPV communication that balances information about health threats with clear and actionable efficacy information.

Keywords: HPV, HPV vaccine, Sina Weibo, topic modeling, content analysis

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Weiting Xu
Department of Communication, Faculty of Modern Languages and Communication, Universiti Putra Malaysia
Jen-Sern Tham
Department of Communication, Faculty of Modern Languages and Communication, Universiti Putra Malaysia
Wan Anita binti Wab Abas
Department of Communication, Faculty of Modern Languages and Communication, Universiti Putra Malaysia
Jian Qin
Department of Chinese Language and Literature, Faculty of Arts, Guangxi University of Foreign Language
Yuan Long
Department of Communication, Faculty of Modern Languages and Communication, Universiti Putra Malaysia

How to cite:

Weiting Xu, Jen-Sern Tham, Wan Anita binti Wab Abas, Jian Qin, Yuan Long. Mapping Fear and Hope in HPV Vaccine Communication on Sina Weibo: Topic Modeling and Content Analysis. Revista Cultura Científica, 2026 Issue 24. pg. 2390-2407.

Publication History

Copyright © 2026, Weiting Xu, Jen-Sern Tham, Wan Anita binti Wab Abas, Jian Qin, Yuan Long. Published by Revista Cultura Científica. This article is published as open access under the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International (CC BY 4.0) license (http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/).

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